Corné Van Walbeek
Project Director and Professor, School of Economics, University of Cape Town
Bio and CV
Corné van Walbeek is currently a Professor at the School of Economics at the University of Cape Town. He joined UCT in 2000 as a Senior Researcher in the Applied Fiscal Research Centre, and began teaching in the School of Economics in 2001. Before joining UCT Corné was a manager in a fruit exporting company for three years and a lecturer at Stellenbosch University for six years. His research interests are primarily in the economics of tobacco control, and in particular how changes in the excise tax on tobacco products can affect cigarette consumption. Within this field, his research has focused on the estimation of price elasticities of demand, how excise tax increases impact the poor, changes in smoking by different demographic groups over time, and the industry’s reaction to changes in the tobacco excise tax. His PhD thesis, completed in 2005, was entitled “The Economics of Tobacco Control in South Africa”. Furthermore, he has consulted the government in Jamaica and research groups in East Africa about tobacco control. Recently his research has had a strong international and cross-sectional focus. Together with Evan Blecher, their work has popularised the idea that the effectiveness of excise tax increases should be evaluated in terms of cigarette affordability, more than simply the price of cigarettes. The concept, although simple and intuitive, is gaining prominence in the literature and with the World Health Organization, and affordability measures are included in cross-country surveys of tobacco variables.
- Vellios, NG and Van Walbeek, CP, 2016, forthcoming. Determinants of Regular Smoking Onset in South Africa using Duration Analysis, BMJ Open.
- Kruger, L, Van Walbeek, CP and Vellios, N, 2016, forthcoming. Waterpipe and Cigarette Smoking among University Students in the Western Cape, South Africa, American Journal of Health Behaviour.
- Russell, C and Van Walbeek, CP, 2016, forthcoming. How does a change in the excise tax on beer impact beer retail prices in South Africa? South African Journal of Economics.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 2015. The economics of tobacco control: evidence from the International Tobacco Control (ITC) Policy Evaluation Project (editorial), Tobacco Control.
- Van Walbeek, CP and Shai, L, 2015. Are the tobacco industry’s claims about the size of the illicit cigarette market credible? The case of South Africa, Tobacco Control. http://tobaccocontrol.bmj.com/content/early/2014/06/11/tobaccocontrol-2013-051441.full.pdf+html
- Van Walbeek, CP 2014. Measuring changes in the illicit cigarette market using government revenue data: the example of South Africa, Tobacco Control. http://tobaccocontrol.bmj.com/content/early/2014/01/15/tobaccocontrol-2013-051178.full.pdf+html
- Van Walbeek, CP, 2013. How accurate are South African macroeconomic forecasts? Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics 37(3): 1-23.
- Smith, LC, Case, JM and Van Walbeek, CP, 2013. Assessing the effectiveness of academic development programmes: A statistical analysis of graduation rates across three programmes, South African Journal for Higher Education.
- Tam, J and Van Walbeek, CP, 2013. Tobacco control in Namibia: The importance of government capacity, media coverage, and industry interference, Tobacco Control. http://tobaccocontrol.bmj.com/content/early/2013/06/19/tobaccocontrol-2012-050725.full.pdf+html.
- Van Walbeek, CP, Blecher, EH, Gilmore, A and Ross, H, 2013. Price and tax measures and illicit trade in the FCTC: what we know and what research is required, Nicotine and Tobacco Research, 15(4): 767-776.
- Rankin, N, Schoer, V, Sebastiao, C and Van Walbeek, CP, 2012. Predictors of academic performance: National Senior Certificate versus National Benchmark Test, South African Journal for Higher Education 26(3): 564-585.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 2010. A simulation model to predict the fiscal and public health impact of a change in cigarette excise taxes, Tobacco Control, 19(1): 31-36. Link to TeTSiM model.
- Blecher, EH and Van Walbeek, CP, 2009. Cigarette affordability trends: an update and some methodological comments, Tobacco Control 18(3): 167-175.
- Groenewald, P, Vos, T, Norman, R, Laubscher, R, Van Walbeek, C, Saloojee, Y, Sitas, F, Bradshaw, D and the South African Comparative Risk Assessment Collaborating Group, 2007. Estimating the burden of disease attributable to smoking in South Africa in 2000. South African Medical Journal 97(8): 674- 681.
- Murray, JJ and Van Walbeek, CP, 2007. Impact of the Sectoral Determination for farm workers in the South African sugar industry: Case study of the KwaZulu-Natal North and South Coasts, Agrekon 46(1): 116-134.
- Van Walbeek, CP, Blecher, EH and Van Graan, M, 2007. The effects of the Tobacco Products Control Amendment Act of 1999 on restaurant revenues in South Africa: a survey approach, South African Medical Journal 97(3): 208-211.
- Sessions, M and Van Walbeek, CP, 2007. A directional analysis of the Bureau of Economic Research’s quarterly forecasts. Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics 31(3): 119-138.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 2006. Official revisions to South African national accounts data: Magnitudes and implications, South African Journal of Economics 74(4): 745-765.
- Samouilhan, NL, Van Walbeek, CP and Smit, EvdM, 2006. Convergence, rationality and accuracy in South African consensus economic forecasts, Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics 30(2):147-165.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 2006. Industry responses to the tobacco excise tax increases in South Africa. South African Journal of Economics 74(1): 110-122.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 2004. Tobacco control in South Africa in the 1990s: a mix of advocacy, academic research and policy. South African Journal of Economic History, 19(1&2): 100-131.
- Blecher, E and Van Walbeek, CP, 2004. An international analysis of cigarette affordability. Tobacco Control, 13: 339-346.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 2004. Does lecture attendance matter? Some observations from a first-year course in Economics at the University of Cape Town. South African Journal of Economics, 72(4): 861-883.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 2002. The distributional impact of changes in tobacco prices. The South African Journal of Economics, 70(3): 258-267.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 2002. Recent trends in smoking prevalence in South Africa: Some evidence from AMPS data. South African Medical Journal, 92(6):468-472.
- Van Walbeek, CP & WJ Pienaar, 1997. Forecasting the demand for rail transport in South Africa. Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics 21(3): 25-45.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 1996. Research note: Some aspects of seasonality and variability in four fresh produce markets. Agrekon 35(1): 41-45.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 1996. Excise taxes on tobacco: How much scope does the government have? The South African Journal of Economics 64(1): 12-23.
- Van Walbeek, CP, 1993. The consequences of export instability: South Africa, 1971-1988. The South African Journal of Economics 61(3): 227-235.
- Van Walbeek, CP The Economics of Tobacco Control in South Africa
Van Walbeek, C, Krugell, W and Samouilhan, N, 2007. South African Workbook for Economics. Van Schaik Publishers. ISBN 9780627027208.
Economics of Tobacco Control Project (Phase II), 2002. The economics of tobacco control in South Africa. Applied Fiscal Research Centre. ISBN 0-7992-2174-0. Written by CP van Walbeek (145 pp).
Economics of Tobacco Control Project (Phase II), 2002. The tobacco epidemic can be reversed: Tobacco control in South Africa during the 1990s. Applied Fiscal Research Centre. ISBN 0-7992-2146-5. Written by CP van Walbeek (61 pp).
Chapters in books
Van Walbeek, CP, Chaloupka, FJ and Reed, L, 2016 (in press): Chapter 6: The impact of tax and price on the demand for tobacco products. In National Cancer Institute Monograph 21: The Economics of Tobacco Control, World Health Organisation and National Cancer Institute.
Van Walbeek, CP and McCarthy, CL, 1992. Export instability: An analysis of the South African export sector, in Industrial Policy and Development in South Africa Vol. 1, Industrial Development Corporation.
Non-peer reviewed publications
Van Walbeek, CP, 2005. Le controle du tabagisme en Afrique du Sud (Tobacco control in South Africa). Promotion and Education 4 (supplement): 25-28.
Van Walbeek, CP, 2003. Tobacco excise taxation in South Africa. Published report for the Tobacco Free Initiative of the World Health Organisation. Report WHO/NMH/TFI/FTC/03.4.
Selection of unpublished reports
Van Walbeek, CP, Barnett, J, Booth, A and Lewis FB, 2015. A review of cigarette excise taxes in Jamaica. Report written for the Jamaican Ministry of Health.
Van Walbeek, CP, and officials from the World Bank and the government of Ghana, 2014. Raising additional government revenues in Ghana by raising the excise tax on tobacco and alcohol. Report commissioned by the World Bank, Accra Office.
Van Walbeek, CP and Blecher, EH, 2014. The Economics of alcohol use, abuse and policy in South Africa. Report commissioned by the World Health Organisation South Africa Office.
Van Walbeek, CP and Daly, M, 2014. Alcohol advertising trends in South Africa. Report commissioned by the World Health Organisation South Africa Office
Van Walbeek, CP, 2010. The need for a new excise tax model for cigarettes in South Africa. Report commissioned by the National Council Against Smoking.
Van Walbeek, CP, Lewis-Fuller, E, Lalta, S, and Barnett, J, 2005. The economics of tobacco control in Jamaica: Will the pursuit of public health place a fiscal burden on the government? Report written for the Jamaican Ministry of Health.